Published: November 10, 2022
Update – 12:01 AM EST
At the 10:00 PM EST update from the National Hurricane Center, Nicole has made its expected turn toward a west-northwestward heading. The system should turn toward the northwest and north during the next day or so while moving along the western side of a mid-level anticyclone, moving over the Florida peninsula and northern Florida.
In 36 to 48 hours, Nicole should accelerate north-northeastward. The official track forecast is about the same as the previous one and remains close to the multi-model consensus prediction.
The hurricane has little time to strengthen further before making landfall in Florida. Weakening will occur while Nicole moves over Florida, and even though the center may briefly emerge over the extreme northeastern Gulf of Mexico, this is not likely to result in any significant re-intensification.
The system should weaken to a depression and become a post-tropical cyclone over the southeastern United States. Nicole should merge with another extratropical low over the eastern United States after 48 hours.
Key Messages from the National Hurricane Center